188BET Silvestre De Sousa Blog | 14th July 2017
Silvestre De Sousa – 14th July 2017
As I mentioned in yesterday’s blog, the fixture congestion means that I am actually riding at Ascot on Friday afternoon rather than staying in Newmarket or heading north to York.
I had opportunities to pick up rides at both of those two meetings but sadly cannot be in three places at the same time. Here are my thoughts on my six Ascot rides along with my fancies in the principle races at those other meetings…
Prestbury Park – 14:15 Ascot
I ride Prestbury Park for Mark Johnston who makes his debut in the opener. On paper he looks a nice type being a son of Shamardal out of an American mare.
Whether he’s good enough to beat the likes of Faraasah and Prince Ahwahnee, both of whom have racecourse experience, first time up remains to be seen. The stable are in good form though and I’m optimistic.
Rufus King – 14:50 Ascot
My mount Rufus King, another for Mark Johnston, faded close home at Leopardstown last time over seven furlongs so you would guess the drop back to six will help. He’d previously run well to chase home stablemate Cardsharp at Beverley over five furlongs suggesting this trip is what he wants.
He’s had plenty of experience and must have a favourite’s chance here although I respect Tom Dascombe’s Dragons Tail who was good at Chester.
Jelly Monger – 15:25 Ascot
I finished second on Jelly Monger at Chelmsford last month where he was only beaten a neck. He carried his head a bit high that day, but that didn’t seem to stop him and hopefully he can go well again.
He will need to step up on that as this looks a hot race with the likes of Mount Moriah and Getback in Paris looking obvious threats.
Fashion Parade – 16:00 Ascot
It won’t be easy for Fashion Parade to win this on her first start for 261 days. She’s a pretty useful filly though and I finished third on her at Kempton back in October. Her stable are going well though so it would be no surprise if she went close. Stoney Broke looks the one to beat.
Hakam – 16:35 Ascot
Topweight Hakam has to carry 10st in this competitive handicap and it won’t be easy giving all that weight away here. He wasn’t beaten far in a Listed race in Sweden and should run his usual solid race.
Juanito Chico – 17:10 Ascot
My last ride at Ascot is Juanito Chico and I’m hoping he can return to the form he was in when winning so impressively at Epsom. I think he is better than he showed at Newmarket last time as that run came a little too quickly after those Epsom exertions.
He faces a small but decent looking field here and the step up to a mile looks ideal. Hopefully he can regain the winning habit although this won’t be easy.
My thoughts on the big three races of the day…
Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes – 14:25 Newmarket
A really good race on paper with Mark Johnston’s Nyaleti looking the obvious one to beat now dropped back to six furlongs.
You can never rule out one of Aidan O’Brien’s and Clemmie looked a different filly back home in Ireland last time. However, I think that both will have their work cut out to beat Richard Hannon’s Out Of The Flames who ran such a good race in the Queen Mary and is worth a go over this longer trip.
Summer Stakes – 15:15 York
This may not be as easy for Queen Kindly as plenty expect. Yes, she is a smart filly and the return to six furlongs should be ideal. However, there are plenty of smart fillies in opposition here and Gravity Flow will push the favourite all the way.
Falmouth Stakes – 15:35 Newmarket
Only the seven runners and it will be interesting to see Wuheida back in action on her first start as a three-year-old. She was really smart last year and will be tough to beat if reappearing in the same form.
Roly Poly will be favourite and has run really well on both of her last two starts. Yet, I give the vote to Arabian Hope who just keeps improving and can upset her better fancied rivals.