Australian Open Men’s Winner | 15th – 28th January 2018
THE first Grand Slam tennis tournament of 2018 gets underway in the early hours of Monday morning with the start of the Australian Open from Melbourne Park.
Usually the start of the new season sees everyone arrive in the Aussie sunshine in full health and ready and raring to go for the new season, well it isn’t the case this year.
Injuries dominate the event
Andy Murray and Kei Nishikori will miss the event through injury and number two seed Rafael Nadal is also an injury concern after a knee injury forced him to withdrawal from the ATP Championships in November and former World number one and six-time Australian Open Novak Djokovic hasn’t played any competitive tennis since Wimbledon after a six month absence with an elbow injury.
With all the high profile withdrawals and injury concerns this has amazingly left 36 year-old Roger Federer as the 7/4 market-leader with 188BET.
The Fed-Express shocked the tennis world by winning this title last year and he went on to claim his 19th Grand Slam singles title at Wimbledon in the summer, but despite closing the season with wins in Basle and Shanghai there are good reasons to leave him alone this fortnight.
Avoid the Big Four
In the last Grand Slam of 2017 he failed to justify favouritism when being beaten by Juan-Martin Del Potro in the quarter-finals and at the O2 in November he suffered a shock defeat at the hands of David Goffin in the semi-finals. In the soaring Australian heat with him due to meet one of those two again in the quarter-finals the value lies elsewhere.
Next in the betting is Nadal at 9/2 with 188BET and if he has any slight problem with the knee that will be found out for sure at this Grand Slam and it would also be crazy to take the 11/2 that 188BET are offering on Djokovic for a man by his own admission says he entering the tournament “for now” and has no idea how the injury will play out after being off a tennis court for six months.
While the big four have had their problems at the tail end of last year, Gregor Dimitrov 10/1 with 188BET, Nick Krygios 16/1 and Alexander Zverev 14/1 have all made their moves on the centre-stage.
Dimitrov won the Tour Championships in London and has started 2018 in good form with his only defeat against Krygios in Brisbane where the Aussie went on to win the title. All three are major talents, but the trio are all mentally weak and that is why they won’t be carrying my money for the shock.
Fully fit and in red hot form
The man who I like in Melbourne is Del Potro at a huge 16/1 with 188BET.
The Argentinian won his first and only Grand Slam at the US Open in 2009 and if it wasn’t for injuries would’ve challenged the top four over the last 10 years and won a lot, lot more.
This year he arrives fully fit, unlike half the players in the draw and he arrives in red-hot form.
In the last year’s US Open the Argentinian made the semi-finals losing to Nadal and after that he made the final in both Shanghai and Basel losing to Federer and he won in Stockholm beating Dimitrov comfortably in the final.
The new year has seen him continue that form with a 100 per cent record of 3/0 and he hasn’t lost a set or had his serve broken in Auckland so far with the final to come.
In a field of uncertainties, injuries and lack of mental ability to win a Grand Slam, 16/1 for a proven winner who’s fit and in the best form in the field is too good too miss.
Nigel Seeley’s Australian Open Tip – Juan-Martin Del Porto (16/1)
188BET will refund all losing Outright Winner bets on the Men’s Singles if a player Under 30 wins the title.