Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors Betting Preview | 18 March 2018
This week the Warriors travel to last year’s Grand Final losers the Castleford Tigers and try to chalk up a win for the first time since June 2016! Rugby tipster Andrew Day gives his betting preview…
Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors | Sunday 15:00
These two faced off three times last season in all competitions with Castleford getting the better of the Warriors on each occasion at an accrued score of 119 – 34, including a heavy 54 – 4 win the last time the Warriors visited the Mend-A-Hose Jungle.
The average winning margin in last season’s three game was 28.3 points. The Warriors only scored an average of 11.3 points against the Tigers last season. The average total match points scored in 2017 was 51. Wigan’s top try scorer last season against Castleford was Morgan Escare with 2.
Last weekend, the Tigers made easy work of the Salford Red Devils dispatching their opponents 22 – 18 and making it 3 wins from their last 3 games. Those wins were off the back of a slow start to the season which saw them loose their opening two games to the Leeds Rhinos and St Helens.
Half Back Luke Gale is starting to look like he’s rediscovered the form that crowned him Man of Steel last season and Ben Roberts looks to have now found his feet in his new full back role.
The Warriors maintained their winning form last week with a 30 – 18 victory over Wakefield Trinity but again found themselves behind at half time and needing a big 2nd half performance to ensure the 2 points. They have found themselves behind at half time in their last three games; a worrying trend that manager Shaun Wane is keen to put right this weekend.
Those thoughts were echoed by half back George Williams who this week confirmed the Warriors form had been ‘patchy’ but that they were working hard and expect to be ‘firing on all cylinders’ before to long.
Following last week’s win, the Warriors total season points rose to 136 and further improved their average points per game which now stands at 27.2 – a number still only bettered by league leaders St Helens.
Last week also saw last season’s 2nd top try scorer, Joe Burgess, build on his return to the squad and score a further 3 tries to take his personal tally to 4 for the season.
After scoring only 12 points in their opening two games, the Tigers have gone on to score 63 points in their last three games and Wigan will need to wary of an attack that last season scored an average 33.4 points per game.
That being said, Wigan boast one of the league’s best defensive records – conceding an average of 14.4 points per game – and will be looking for another good defensive effort to keep out the Tigers.
Compare that to Castleford’s defence – an average points conceded per game of 21 – there is strong argument that it should be the Tigers – not the Warriors – who will be concerned at keeping the opposition out.
For that very reason, I think Wigan to win with the added comfort of a small handicap start is a solid bet.
Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors – Wigan + 2.5 handicap (10/11)