Gennady Golovkin v Saúl “Canelo” Álvarez Betting Preview | 16th September 2017
COMBAT expert Callum Wilson takes a look at the best bets available for Saturday night’s big bout between Gennady Golovkin and Saúl “Canelo” Álvarez
After being entirely consumed by the hyper accentuated circus that was Floyd Mayweather vs Conor McGregor, the world anticipates a mouth-watering clash this weekend.
No, it may not grab an iota of the general public’s attention that the ‘Money Fight’ accumulated just a few weekends ago.
No, it won’t be discussed in even nearly the same depth by mainstream channels in the UK that couldn’t get enough of the plucky Irishman’s face in the lead up to the bout.
But for the boxing purist, the match up this weekend is tantalising and intriguing in equal measure, as Gennady Gennadyevich Golovkin (GGG) defends his unified middleweight world title against Saúl “Canelo” Álvarez as two of the most highly sought-after names in boxing go toe-to-toe.
The tale of the tape
For GGG, a chance to extend his unblemished 37-0 demolition path through the middleweight division and edge closer to a landmark record held by Bernard Hopkins. GGG has 18 straight title defences in the division, just two shy of the American staple’s effort between 1994 and 2005.
In the opposing corner, Canelo starts a pursuit at 160-pounds following his crushing victory over Julio Cesar Chanves Jr back in May. Looking to improve his 49-1-1 record, the Mexican has not tasted defeat since dropping a majority decision to the aforementioned Mayweather back in 2013.
Ring reps point to an advantage for Canelo
Despite being almost a decade younger than Golovkin, Alvarez has 51 pro fights compared to GGG’s 37 – and it is undisputable that the calibre of fighter that the Mexican has fought outweighs his younger advisory. Coming up against the likes of Mayweather, Mosley, Lara and Cotto already, Canelo has experience against the big boys.
Big stage experience tips to Canelo, and having been there and done it with the formidable opponents mentioned previously should give him an edge in terms of dealing with the enormity of the situation. GGG has went the distance just once his sparkling career, Alvarez has done it 10 times.
GGG’s chin and power should prove decisive
There are few warriors who compete under the Queensberry rules that can rival the chin of GGG. Don’t let his baby faced, unassuming character get it twisted – the middleweight king does not go down. In fact, in almost 400 amateur and pro bouts he is still yet to be knocked down, a staggering statistic.
This curtails me to my second point regarding GGG, and I think this is where the money is to be made. Golovkin is not a fan of leaving his fights up to the judges’ scorecards, with a staggering 89.2% knockout rate thus far in his illustrious tear through the division.
A 23-fight KO streak was ended back in March, when Daniel Jacobs took GGG all 12 rounds, however, I do not expect Canelo’s first fight at Middleweight to go the distance. I expect Golovkin to neutralise Alvarez with the jab, much similar to the game plan he used for power puncher David Lemieux.
In short, I think GGG’s output, pressure and power results in him picking away at Alvarez, and for him to fully capitalise from mid-range. I cannot see this fight going the distance, and I think Golovkin finishes him, and I think he does it between rounds six and eight.