Super League Tips | 23rd March 2018
RUGBY LEAGUE tipster Andrew Day delivers his best bets from this week’s latest round of Super League action.
Last season’s Challenge Cup winners Hull find themselves in a bit of a rut after a poor start to the season. Despite an opening day win over the Huddersfield Giants they have won just once since – a 21–12 victory over Warrington – and recorded four defeats in the process.
Last weekend’s surprise 24-8 defeat to Salford Red Devils was followed by further turmoil this week with the shock departure of leading prop forward Liam Watts to rivals Castleford and manager Lee Radford will hope the visit of the league’s bottom club will help improve the club’s fortunes.
Catalans are similarly struggling– with only a gutsy 18–16 win against Hull KR to their name. The visitors have lost their other five fixtures with the Warrington Wolves the last team to take two points with a demoralising 26-0 triumph.
The Dragons have conceded an average of 23.6 points per-game this season and when compared to their average score – just 10 points per-game – it is hard to see where their next victory will come from.
They will take heart however, from the fact they did the double over Hull in the league last season, including a 16–14 win on their last trip to the KCOM Stadium.
The betting angle
The stats don’t lie: Catalans concede plenty of points and score very few.
Despite a poor start to the season – and a similar points per-game conceded record – Hull have a healthy average points scored per-game of 18.5.
This fact alone is why I fancy Hull to eat up the -12.5 handicap given by 188Bet and win this encounter at a canter.
Warrington returned to winning ways after back-to-back defeats against Hull FC and St Helens to secure a comfortable 26–0 victory against the Catalan Dragons.
That win was the Wolves’ third this season and also saw big (in terms of transfer fee and size) off-season signing Ben Murdoch-Masila open his Wire account with two tries.
Wakefield have had a week off after their game against Widnes was abandoned and arguably that rest couldn’t have come at a better time. They lost their 100% winning start to the season in their last outing at Wigan – a 30–18 defeat that came off the back of four straight triumphs.
The stand-out player this season for Wakefield has been Liam Finn, who has so far contributed 30 points– 38% of Trinity’s total season points – and he will again be expected to put in a big shift.
A shift that will no doubt be needed if Wakefield are to change recent history. You have to go back to July 2014 to find the last time the Trinity won at the Halliwell Jones – a run which has seen the guests score only 48 points in their past four visits.
The betting angle
These sides met twice last season with the spoils being shared at a win a piece. The Wolves won 22–20 before the Wildcats returned the favour with a 26–12 win at the Beaumont Legal Stadium.
Despite Wakefield’s poor record here, last season’s encounters showed how close the two teams are and – as shown by their early season form – Trinity have certainly improved this term. It is hard to choose a winner here and a tight encounter is predicted.
Therefore, 188Bet’s offer of Wakefield to win with a more than a converted try head start looks great value.