Super League Tips | 30th March 2018
RUGBY LEAGUE tipster Andrew Day delivers his best bets from Good Friday’s round of Super League action.
Salford succumbed to two late tries and as a result surrendered a 16–12 lead to lose last weekend at Widnes Vikings. That defeat was their fifth of the season and third in their last four outings.
Despite the poor form on paper, the Red Devils do have some notable scalps on their resume with victories over both of the Hull sides this term.
Catalans season continues to go from bad to worse. Bottom of the Super League with only a solitary victory over Hull KR to shout about, things look bleak in Perpignan.
Last weekend’s 42–16 defeat to Hull saw them concede 30 second-half points and continue a worrying trend which has seen over 65% of their points conceded in the second stanza of matches.
The betting verdict
These sides met twice last season with the spoils being shared at a win apiece. The Dragons won 38–6 before the Red Devils returned the favour with a 50-12 win at the AJ Bell Stadium.
Those two games followed a trend set over the last six fixtures between these sides which has seen an average of 55 match points scored.
In fact, the Red Devils have saved some of their strongest performances over the years for when the Dragons are in town – scoring an average of 68.6 points per-game in the last three encounters at the AJ Bell.
A Salford win is expected here and plenty of points should be scored to cover the -6.5 handicap start with 188BET’s 10/11 offering standing out.
Warrington last weekend backed up a solid win against the Catalan Dragons in the France with an impressive 34–24 win over Wakefield. That victory lifted the Wire into fifth in Super League and made it four wins from their last six fixtures.
Widnes returned to winning ways with a 24–16 win over Salford Red Devils in a game that saw top try scorer Krisnan Inu add to his tally of six tries for the campaign.
These sides have met plenty of times over the past with the Wolves dominating the action. The duo met earlier this season at the home of the Vikings with the Wire coming away with a hard fought 18–10 victory.
The betting verdict
The previous encounters between these sides make for interesting reading, especially in the winning margin area. In the last six encounters, only one of the games – the 22–6 win in July 2017 – has seen a greater than 14-point winning margin.
On the back of this, I think there is good value in the handicap starts that have been set and Widnes with a head start of 14.5 points is where my money is going.