Warrington Wolves v Wigan Warriors Betting Preview | 23rd February 2018
This week the Warriors head to local rivals Warrington Wolves looking to make it three wins from three in the 2018 Super League. Rugby tipster Andrew Day gives his betting preview…
These two faced off four times last season in all competitions with Wigan getting the better of the Wire on two of those encounters at an accrued score of 99 – 82. The average winning margin in all four games was 7.25 points.
In three of the four games, the Warriors scored 24 points or over. The average total match points scored in 2017 was over 45.25. Wigan’s top try scorer last season against the Wire was Liam Marshall with seven.
The Warriors return this week from a fortnight in Australia were – despite losing 18-8 to the South Sydney Rabbitohs – they won the first ever Super League fixture held outside of Europe defeating Hull FC 24 – 10.
That victory meant Wigan have won their opening two games of the season scoring an impressive 64 points in the process. Leading try scorer Liam Marshall has replicated his early form of 2017 by notching up four tries and the benefits of a full pre-season are there to see in Sam Tomkins early form.
As mentioned last week, Sam Powell seems to be the preferred option – from the start at least – to partner George Williams at half back with Sam Tomkins the starting Full Back and Morgan Escare being used as an impact substitute. This tactic was again used against Hull to great success however don’t be surprised to see coach Shaun Wane continually rotate his side as the season progresses until he lands on personnel he is happy with.
Likewise, the coach has a selection headache on the wing with Joe Burgess pushing for a recall. But would you sacrifice either Liam Marshall and Tom Davies given there recent good form?
Warrington got their first win of the season grinding out a 18-10 against the Widnes Vikings last weekend. Many questions remain about the Wire with new manager, new ideas and new players all still yet to gel. That being said they are still a very dangerous proposition – especially at home – and will be looking to take advantage of Wigan’s inevitable tiredness and chalk up another 2 points.
Off season star signing Tyrone Roberts returns from injury this weekend and special attention will need to be paid to centre Ryan Atkins who scored 4 tries against the Warriors last season.
Despite the gulf in quality for the two sides, Warrington’s home advantage and Wigan’s jet lag could make this a tighter contest than many expect.
Furthermore, the stats show that these are usually tight affairs – winning margin last season was an average 7.25 points – and I see this being no different.
Even if Wigan’s tiredness leads to Warrington getting more attacking chances, I see Wigan’s free scoring to continue and because of that, the Warriors to win by between 1 -12 points is the bet.