Wigan Warriors v Castleford Tigers Tips | 9th August 2018
RUGBY LEAGUE tipster Andrew Day delivers his best bets from tonight’s Super League showdown between the Huddersfield Giants and the Wigan Warriors.
What a week it has been for the Warriors. Two legends in Adrian Lam and Shaun Edwards returning to take over the reins in 2019 & 2020 and both will likely be in attendance for Wigan’s first Super 8s clash against Castleford Tigers.
Warriors v Tigers – Key stats
The two sides have met twice this season, with a win a piece and the two points going to the home side on each occasion.
In both games this season, the Warriors scored 18 points or more.
In the same games, the Warriors conceded an average of 15.5 points.
The Warriors bounced back to winning ways with a 25 – 20 victory over the Catalan Dragons in their last encounter – a victory which looks all the more impressive after last weekend’s results – and they will have been glad of the 13 days rest they have had to recharge ready for the next stage of the season.
Last year the Warriors started the Super 8s from 7th position and never really gave themselves any chance of reaching Old Trafford. This season, after a 2nd place finish, the Warriors have given themselves every reason the believe and with the feel good factor around the club at the moment with the new manager appointments – things really do look on the up for the Cherry and Whites!
Last years Grand Final runners up are in form and 7 wins in their last 9 games ensured a 3rd place finish and every chance of bettering last season’s finish.
Unfortunately for the Tigers, they remain without last years Man of Steel Luke Gale and star full back Ben Roberts.
Both of these sides will be keen to get their Super 8 campaigns off to a strong start and there is every reason to suggest we are in for a blockbuster of an encounter.
Last year, Wigan and Castleford finished the regular season with an average points per game score of 33.4 and 23.5 respectively. However, the Tigers wings have been somewhat clipped this year and their strike rate per game has dropped to 24.6 compared to Wigan’s improvement to 24.9.
Add this to the fact the Warriors boast the league’s second best defensive record – 15 points conceded per game – and the Tigers have leaked points more regularly in 2018 – 20.9 points conceded per game the stats would suggest Wigan’s improved attack and formidable defence will be too much for Castleford’s defence to keep out and their attack to penetrate.
With the above in mind, I am plumping for a Wigan within the margins.